ARIN Watch: 13 May 2014

We’re now down to 0.87 /8s at ARIN, and here are the allocations made yesterday that are larger than /24:

Google Inc – /16
Subrigo Corporation – /18
JUCE Communications Inc – /20
Montana Sky West LLC – /20
Optix Media LLC – /21
City of Opelika, AL – /22
SilverIP Communications Inc – /22

ARIN Watch: 10 May 2014

Another fairly flat day yesterday at ARIN, but still quite a good week all round, with 0.12 /8s gone in a single week.  Allocations bigger than /24 yesterday were:

Colostore.com – /22
LS Networks – /22
Mainland Telecom Inc – /22
Minkett LLC – /22
Zoom Video Communications Inc – /22
Katy Independent School District – /23

See you all on Tuesday for another exciting edition of ARIN Watch.

ARIN Watch: 9 May 2014

A fairly flat day yesterday.  Allocations today were:

Cheetahmail – /18
RamNode LLC – /19
Everywhere Wireless LLC – /22
AdvantageCare Physicians PC – /22

This means the needle’s hardly moved, leaving 0.88 /8s still left in the pool at the time of writing.

ARIN Watch: 8 May 2014

Yesterday was another pretty good day for IPv4 allocations at ARIN.  The large allocations made yesterday are as follows:

Microsoft Corporation – /13
Charter Communications – /17
FranTech Solutions – /18
Time Warner Cable Internet LLC – /18
Telspirion – /20
Metro Communications Company Inc – /21
Wisconsin CyberLynk Network Inc – /21
Foren Data Inc – /22
ISPrime Inc – /22
United Telephone Association Inc – /22
California Internet Solutions Inc – /22

In addition, there were two /24 blocks allocated.

(As an aside, I note that a block of /32 IPv6 was returned yesterday – that can’t be a common occurrence!)

Also of interest today is the news that there are now no longer any contiguous blocks of size /11 to /14 inclusive left, so any requests larger than a /15 will have to be dealt with either by splitting up the /9 or /10 or allocating them from a series of smaller blocks.

At the time of writing, ARIN’s counter is now showing 0.88 /8s left, which means just this week alone around 0.12 /8s have been allocated.  If we keep going like this ARIN is going to be out of IPv4 in weeks.

More days like this please!

ARIN Watch: 7 May 2014

Around 0.08 /8s were allocated by ARIN yesterday (6 May 2014), and by the looks of it the allocations bigger than /24 were as follows:

AT&T – /12
Sonic.net Inc – /16
Pennsylvania State University – /15
Altima Telecom Inc (Canada) – /20
ColoMX LLC – /20
Net3 Inc – /20
A2 Hosting, Inc – /21
Core Technology Services Inc – /21
Midcast – /21
Valve Corporation – /21
VegasNAP LLC – /21
Capco Reference Data Services – /22
Airespring Inc – /22
Black Lotus Communications – /22
Rack Alley LLC – /22
Ronin Capital LLC – /23

Quite a bumper day really.   I think it’s unlikely AT&T are going to get any more before exhaustion now.  Can we have more days like this please ARIN?

ARIN reaches final /8

In slightly unexpected news, ARIN reached their final /8 today supposedly because of the allocation of a /10 to Akamai, which reduced the space free from just over 1.25 /8s to 1 /8s exactly.  This means that ARIN are now in ‘Phase 4’, where all address allocation requests are closely scrutinised, and requests for /15 are above are closely scrutinised by a senior member of ARIN.

I haven’t seen the actual allocation figures yet, but this really should be the starting gun for Americans everywhere to start thinking about taking their heads out of the sand and rolling out IPv6.  It’s now going to be a lot harder to get allocations out of ARIN, and it can’t be long before total exhaustion is upon us.  Geoff Huston’s meter is probably going to be wound forward by months in the morning.

LACNIC crashes through the ‘final /8’ barrier in style

LACNIC crashed through the ‘final /8’ barrier in style yesterday by allocating a smashing 2,368,512 IPv4 addresses in just one day (0.141 /8s).  This brings the total left to around 0.87 /8s as of today, and this really does signficantly reduce the time needed to reach exhaustion (which in LACNIC’s case will be when they reach the final /10, or 0.25 /8s).

Most of the addresses allocated yesterday went to Brazil, the biggest block of 1,048,576 (/12) addresses going to Tim Celular S.A. in Brazil.  Other notable blocks include 2 x 262,144 addresses (/14)  and 6 x 131,072 (/15) going also to Tim Celular at the same time.  All the others are blocks of 1,024 and 2,048 (/22 and /21) so are relatively insignificant.

All blocks apart from two were allocated to Brazil, apart from one /22 which went to Colombia and another /22 went to Costa Rica.

It won’t take many more allocations like this to bring exhaustion very very close now.  Are there any other ISPs or mobile phone companies need more addresses in the near future, I wonder?

IPv4 depletion at LACNIC

As of today, LACNIC (the IP address registry for Latin America and the Caribbean) are down to 1.05 /8s remaining, which means that it is likely in the next day or two to have reached the final /8 that they have.  LACNIC have slightly different rules to some of the other registries – RIPE and APNIC, for example, considered their stock of IPv4 addresses to be exhausted when they reached the final /8 (16,777,216 addresses) , whereas ARIN are taking a different approach and are basically reserving hardly any, so it truly is a “race to the bottom” for that region although the requirements for obtaining a block when they reach the final /8 are much increased.  LACNIC consider their addresses to be exhausted when they reach 4,194,304 addresses (/10) left.

Yesterday there were 524,288 addresses (/13) allocated to Telemar Norte Leste S.A. in Brazil, and a further 393,216 addresses split as two blocks of 262,144 (/14) and 131,072 (/15) addresses to Telefonica de Argentina.  If this rate of allocation continues (i.e. 0.05 /8s per day), LACNIC will be out of addresses in 16 working days from now.  I suspect it won’t be depleted that quickly, but still a sobering thought, if you still have your head in the sand over IPv4 exhaustion and you’re located in the LACNIC region.

The End of Year IPv4 Report

So, here we are at the end of 2013 and let’s see where we are.  So far, APNIC and RIPE have ‘run out’, and the next two registries likely to be depleted in the next year or two are ARIN and LACNIC.  Until recently, it was likely that ARIN would run out first, and then ARIN and LACNIC were pretty much neck-and-neck for a while, but in recent months the demand for IPv4 in the LACNIC region has been accelerating quite a lot, and we’re now at the point (as of today) that LACNIC are now depleting their resources quite a bit faster than ARIN are.  Geoff Huston has the figures as of this morning at 1.5 /8s for ARIN and 1.3317 /8s for LACNIC, a difference of approximately 6 weeks.  If LACNIC continue this rate of depletion I suspect they will be down to the final /10 (as ARIN and LACNIC have different rules to RIPE, who reserved a whole /8) a fair bit sooner than the beginning of 2015.  As to why LACNIC has shown such a spurt in recent weeks, that’s anyone’s guess, but the next few months could be very interesting if current trends continue.  Just as well Comcast in the US is well on the way to rolling out IPv6 to 100% of their customer base then!

Happy new year!

ARIN reaches Phase 3, with only two /8s left

Today the American Registry for Internet Numbers (ARIN) reached the next milestone in its IPv4 exhaustion journey.  There are now only two /8s remaining left, and one of those is the “last /8” which both APNIC and RIPE are already down to.  By current estimations (and particularly Geoff Huston’s), we’re probably about a year away from reaching the final /8 at ARIN.  This, of course, depends on whether the current depletion rate is maintained (which is what happened in the RIPE region), or whether there is an APNIC-style “run on the bank” and panic sets in.  Either way, ARIN’s page on the subject is interesting, as it breaks down the number of contiguous blocks available between /8 and /24.  If any of the big ISPs want a really block, they’d better get in quick, since at the time of writing there’s only one /8 left, two /10s, one /11, two /12s, one /13 and three /14s.

Interesting times ahead, and it will be fascinating to see which way it goes.  Especially as ARIN does not appear to have adopted a “final /8” policy as APNIC and RIPE have done, so it really is a dog-eat-dog race to the finish, pretty much.